Latest NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high near 85°F in New York City on April 16 under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, continuing the unusually warm early-April pattern with recent runs trending 1-2°F higher than 48 hours ago. Trader consensus reflects this clustering around 82-87°F, differentiated by boundary-layer mixing efficiency and variable mid-level clouds potentially capping peaks—ECMWF shows slightly more cloudiness than GFS, favoring 82-83°F, while drier GFS runs support 86-87°F. Historical April highs average 60°F, making this outlier driven by persistent ridging; monitor afternoon forecast updates from NWS New York for refinements ahead of peak heating between 2-5 PM.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?
82～83°F 23%
84～85°F 23%
86～87°F 19%
80〜81°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
77°F以下
1%
78～79°F
3%
80〜81°F
11%
82～83°F
23%
84～85°F
23%
86～87°F
19%
88-89°F
8%
90〜91°F
9%
92〜93°F
1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96°F以上
<1%
82～83°F 23%
84～85°F 23%
86～87°F 19%
80〜81°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
77°F以下
$1,156 Vol.
1%
78～79°F
$457 Vol.
3%
80〜81°F
$133 Vol.
11%
82～83°F
$183 Vol.
23%
84～85°F
$130 Vol.
23%
86～87°F
$89 Vol.
19%
88-89°F
$531 Vol.
8%
90〜91°F
$794 Vol.
9%
92〜93°F
$513 Vol.
1%
94〜95°F
$425 Vol.
<1%
96°F以上
$774 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high near 85°F in New York City on April 16 under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, continuing the unusually warm early-April pattern with recent runs trending 1-2°F higher than 48 hours ago. Trader consensus reflects this clustering around 82-87°F, differentiated by boundary-layer mixing efficiency and variable mid-level clouds potentially capping peaks—ECMWF shows slightly more cloudiness than GFS, favoring 82-83°F, while drier GFS runs support 86-87°F. Historical April highs average 60°F, making this outlier driven by persistent ridging; monitor afternoon forecast updates from NWS New York for refinements ahead of peak heating between 2-5 PM.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
音量
$5,179終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high near 85°F in New York City on April 16 under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, continuing the unusually warm early-April pattern with recent runs trending 1-2°F higher than 48 hours ago. Trader consensus reflects this clustering around 82-87°F, differentiated by boundary-layer mixing efficiency and variable mid-level clouds potentially capping peaks—ECMWF shows slightly more cloudiness than GFS, favoring 82-83°F, while drier GFS runs support 86-87°F. Historical April highs average 60°F, making this outlier driven by persistent ridging; monitor afternoon forecast updates from NWS New York for refinements ahead of peak heating between 2-5 PM.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,179終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETLatest NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high near 85°F in New York City on April 16 under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, continuing the unusually warm early-April pattern with recent runs trending 1-2°F higher than 48 hours ago. Trader consensus reflects this clustering around 82-87°F, differentiated by boundary-layer mixing efficiency and variable mid-level clouds potentially capping peaks—ECMWF shows slightly more cloudiness than GFS, favoring 82-83°F, while drier GFS runs support 86-87°F. Historical April highs average 60°F, making this outlier driven by persistent ridging; monitor afternoon forecast updates from NWS New York for refinements ahead of peak heating between 2-5 PM.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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