Recent cooling after an intense early-July heatwave has anchored trader sentiment around a 72-75°F high for New York City on July 7. Official guidance shows a transition to northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover or light precipitation that limits daytime solar heating and advects cooler maritime air, pulling maxima well below the mid-90s to near-100°F readings of July 5-6. Ensemble models converge on this range, with minor spread arising from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 85°F underscore the atypical cooldown, while the tight clustering of market probabilities reflects limited upside risk absent a rapid return to southerly flow before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on July 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 7?
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/07/07
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/07/07
65°F or below
$385 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$639 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,021 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$501 Vol.
13%
72-73°F
$557 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$155 Vol.
33%
76-77°F
$737 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$489 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$316 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$551 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$913 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an intense early-July heatwave has anchored trader sentiment around a 72-75°F high for New York City on July 7. Official guidance shows a transition to northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover or light precipitation that limits daytime solar heating and advects cooler maritime air, pulling maxima well below the mid-90s to near-100°F readings of July 5-6. Ensemble models converge on this range, with minor spread arising from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 85°F underscore the atypical cooldown, while the tight clustering of market probabilities reflects limited upside risk absent a rapid return to southerly flow before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$6,218終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an intense early-July heatwave has anchored trader sentiment around a 72-75°F high for New York City on July 7. Official guidance shows a transition to northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover or light precipitation that limits daytime solar heating and advects cooler maritime air, pulling maxima well below the mid-90s to near-100°F readings of July 5-6. Ensemble models converge on this range, with minor spread arising from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 85°F underscore the atypical cooldown, while the tight clustering of market probabilities reflects limited upside risk absent a rapid return to southerly flow before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,218終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent cooling after an intense early-July heatwave has anchored trader sentiment around a 72-75°F high for New York City on July 7. Official guidance shows a transition to northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover or light precipitation that limits daytime solar heating and advects cooler maritime air, pulling maxima well below the mid-90s to near-100°F readings of July 5-6. Ensemble models converge on this range, with minor spread arising from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July averages near 85°F underscore the atypical cooldown, while the tight clustering of market probabilities reflects limited upside risk absent a rapid return to southerly flow before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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