Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum of 23°C in Paris on June 7, driven by a persistent cool air mass, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. These conditions align with below-average early-summer temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically reach 21–24°C. Market-implied odds reflect strong consensus around this outcome, as ensemble guidance shows minimal spread and no significant warming trend through the afternoon. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected break in cloud cover combined with stronger southerly flow, though current observations and short-range model runs make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on June 7?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$88,645 Vol.
$88,645 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$88,645 Vol.
$88,645 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 6, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum of 23°C in Paris on June 7, driven by a persistent cool air mass, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. These conditions align with below-average early-summer temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically reach 21–24°C. Market-implied odds reflect strong consensus around this outcome, as ensemble guidance shows minimal spread and no significant warming trend through the afternoon. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected break in cloud cover combined with stronger southerly flow, though current observations and short-range model runs make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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