Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月7日のソウルの最高気温は？
5月7日のソウルの最高気温は？
19°C 100¢
11℃以下 0¢
12℃ 0¢
13°C 0¢
$282,616 Vol.
$282,616 Vol.
2026/05/07
11℃以下
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
はい
20°C
いいえ
21°C以上
いいえ
19°C 100¢
11℃以下 0¢
12℃ 0¢
13°C 0¢
$282,616 Vol.
$282,616 Vol.
2026/05/07
11℃以下
$1,817 Vol.
いいえ
12℃
$3,276 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$6,825 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$8,590 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$11,141 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$22,109 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$17,765 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$68,179 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$81,590 Vol.
はい
20°C
$26,056 Vol.
いいえ
21°C以上
$35,266 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$282,616終了日
2026/05/07マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$282,616終了日
2026/05/07マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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