Traders see the tight spread among 36–38°C outcomes as reflecting typical mid-July conditions in Shanghai, where subtropical high pressure supports afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 34°C but allows model variability in exact heating. Recent heat warnings and confirmed highs reaching 35°C earlier this month underscore the potential for intensification under clear skies and urban heat island effects, while humidity, variable wind, and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in whether the daily maximum edges toward 37°C or stays closer to 36°C. Official forecasts from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models will likely refine these ranges in the next 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月16日の上海の最高気温は？
7月16日の上海の最高気温は？
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$149,246 Vol.
$149,246 Vol.
2026/07/16
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$149,246 Vol.
$149,246 Vol.
2026/07/16
32°C or below
$2,163 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,849 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,321 Vol.
No
35°C
$8,335 Vol.
No
36°C
$13,707 Vol.
No
37°C
$22,848 Vol.
No
38°C
$30,008 Vol.
Yes
39°C
$38,281 Vol.
No
40°C
$12,419 Vol.
No
41°C
$10,283 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$5,031 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight spread among 36–38°C outcomes as reflecting typical mid-July conditions in Shanghai, where subtropical high pressure supports afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 34°C but allows model variability in exact heating. Recent heat warnings and confirmed highs reaching 35°C earlier this month underscore the potential for intensification under clear skies and urban heat island effects, while humidity, variable wind, and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in whether the daily maximum edges toward 37°C or stays closer to 36°C. Official forecasts from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models will likely refine these ranges in the next 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$149,246終了日
2026/07/16マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight spread among 36–38°C outcomes as reflecting typical mid-July conditions in Shanghai, where subtropical high pressure supports afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 34°C but allows model variability in exact heating. Recent heat warnings and confirmed highs reaching 35°C earlier this month underscore the potential for intensification under clear skies and urban heat island effects, while humidity, variable wind, and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in whether the daily maximum edges toward 37°C or stays closer to 36°C. Official forecasts from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models will likely refine these ranges in the next 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$149,246終了日
2026/07/16マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders see the tight spread among 36–38°C outcomes as reflecting typical mid-July conditions in Shanghai, where subtropical high pressure supports afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 34°C but allows model variability in exact heating. Recent heat warnings and confirmed highs reaching 35°C earlier this month underscore the potential for intensification under clear skies and urban heat island effects, while humidity, variable wind, and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty in whether the daily maximum edges toward 37°C or stays closer to 36°C. Official forecasts from agencies like the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models will likely refine these ranges in the next 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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