Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$138,135 Vol.
$138,135 Vol.
2026/05/24
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$138,135 Vol.
$138,135 Vol.
2026/05/24
21°C or below
$4,483 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,250 Vol.
No
23°C
$40,261 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$22,515 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,290 Vol.
No
26°C
$12,460 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,431 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,751 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,141 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,781 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$5,772 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$138,135終了日
2026/05/24マーケット開始日
May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$138,135終了日
2026/05/24マーケット開始日
May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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