Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's April 18 highest temperature, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS clustering tightly around 27-29°C amid a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting warm, subsident air over the Pearl River Delta. Recent 24-hour updates from the China Meteorological Administration indicate partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds of 10-15 km/h fostering sea-breeze moderation, potentially capping peaks at 26-28°C in cloudier members, while drier runs allow urban heat island effects to boost readings toward 30°C. Historical April highs average 26°C at Shenzhen Bao'an station (ZGSZ), but this week's observed 28-30°C trends add warmth bias. New 12z model outputs tomorrow could sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
28°C 34%
29°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
25%
29°C
24%
30°C
22%
31°C
18%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
7%
28°C 34%
29°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
23°C or below
$75 Vol.
1%
24°C
$80 Vol.
1%
25°C
$83 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C
$5 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C or higher
$33 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's April 18 highest temperature, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS clustering tightly around 27-29°C amid a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting warm, subsident air over the Pearl River Delta. Recent 24-hour updates from the China Meteorological Administration indicate partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds of 10-15 km/h fostering sea-breeze moderation, potentially capping peaks at 26-28°C in cloudier members, while drier runs allow urban heat island effects to boost readings toward 30°C. Historical April highs average 26°C at Shenzhen Bao'an station (ZGSZ), but this week's observed 28-30°C trends add warmth bias. New 12z model outputs tomorrow could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
音量
$281終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's April 18 highest temperature, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS clustering tightly around 27-29°C amid a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting warm, subsident air over the Pearl River Delta. Recent 24-hour updates from the China Meteorological Administration indicate partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds of 10-15 km/h fostering sea-breeze moderation, potentially capping peaks at 26-28°C in cloudier members, while drier runs allow urban heat island effects to boost readings toward 30°C. Historical April highs average 26°C at Shenzhen Bao'an station (ZGSZ), but this week's observed 28-30°C trends add warmth bias. New 12z model outputs tomorrow could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$281終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's April 18 highest temperature, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS clustering tightly around 27-29°C amid a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting warm, subsident air over the Pearl River Delta. Recent 24-hour updates from the China Meteorological Administration indicate partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds of 10-15 km/h fostering sea-breeze moderation, potentially capping peaks at 26-28°C in cloudier members, while drier runs allow urban heat island effects to boost readings toward 30°C. Historical April highs average 26°C at Shenzhen Bao'an station (ZGSZ), but this week's observed 28-30°C trends add warmth bias. New 12z model outputs tomorrow could sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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