Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$175,731 Vol.
$175,731 Vol.
2026/04/18
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$175,731 Vol.
$175,731 Vol.
2026/04/18
23°C or below
$857 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,577 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,770 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,266 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,252 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,164 Vol.
No
29°C
$37,367 Vol.
No
30°C
$88,146 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$9,529 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,176 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$4,629 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
音量
$175,731終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$175,731終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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