Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,401 Vol.
$71,401 Vol.
2026/06/15
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,401 Vol.
$71,401 Vol.
2026/06/15
22°C or below
$372 Vol.
No
23°C
$735 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,251 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,687 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,194 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,994 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,349 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,547 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,981 Vol.
No
31°C
$17,011 Vol.
Yes
32°C or higher
$12,281 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$71,401終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$71,401終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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