Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 23?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 23?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,313 Vol.
$64,313 Vol.
2026/05/23
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,313 Vol.
$64,313 Vol.
2026/05/23
24°C or below
$473 Vol.
No
25°C
$463 Vol.
No
26°C
$681 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,391 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,099 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,234 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,892 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,883 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$9,545 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,049 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$11,602 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
音量
$64,313終了日
2026/05/23マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$64,313終了日
2026/05/23マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問