Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) station—the authoritative resolution source for Tel Aviv temperature markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of a cool northerly airflow and persistent low-level moisture capping daytime heating, starting from morning lows near 17°C amid partly cloudy skies. April climatological averages hover around 23°C, but synoptic patterns suppressed peaks below historical norms. With METAR data finalized, realistic challenges are negligible absent rare post hoc revisions from NOAA, expected none given standard reporting protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 20?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$68,972 Vol.
$68,972 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$68,972 Vol.
$68,972 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) station—the authoritative resolution source for Tel Aviv temperature markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of a cool northerly airflow and persistent low-level moisture capping daytime heating, starting from morning lows near 17°C amid partly cloudy skies. April climatological averages hover around 23°C, but synoptic patterns suppressed peaks below historical norms. With METAR data finalized, realistic challenges are negligible absent rare post hoc revisions from NOAA, expected none given standard reporting protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問