Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
30℃ 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,565 Vol.
$40,565 Vol.
2026/06/18
26℃以下
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
No
29°C
いいえ
30℃
はい
31°C
No
32℃
いいえ
33°C
No
34℃
いいえ
35℃
いいえ
36℃以上
いいえ
30℃ 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,565 Vol.
$40,565 Vol.
2026/06/18
26℃以下
$722 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$1,968 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$4,282 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,585 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$5,062 Vol.
はい
31°C
$6,269 Vol.
No
32℃
$2,923 Vol.
いいえ
33°C
$1,000 Vol.
No
34℃
$5,180 Vol.
いいえ
35℃
$1,020 Vol.
いいえ
36℃以上
$552 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
音量
$40,565終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$40,565終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問