The market's near-certain 100% consensus on 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on June 4 stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest official forecast and supporting numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which align on a mild early-June maximum under stable southerly flow and near-normal seasonal conditions. This positions the outcome well within the typical 21–26°C range for the period, with no significant warming signals from current atmospheric patterns. Official observations from the Otemachi station will finalize resolution. A late-day shift in advection or unmodeled local heating could theoretically alter the reading, though current data show limited scope for such deviation before the daily close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 4?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 4?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$113,124 Vol.
$113,124 Vol.
2026/06/04
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$113,124 Vol.
$113,124 Vol.
2026/06/04
17°C or below
$3,289 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,305 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,894 Vol.
No
20°C
$10,748 Vol.
No
21°C
$17,612 Vol.
No
22°C
$19,763 Vol.
No
23°C
$13,246 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$15,892 Vol.
No
25°C
$11,871 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,784 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$4,719 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% consensus on 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on June 4 stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest official forecast and supporting numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which align on a mild early-June maximum under stable southerly flow and near-normal seasonal conditions. This positions the outcome well within the typical 21–26°C range for the period, with no significant warming signals from current atmospheric patterns. Official observations from the Otemachi station will finalize resolution. A late-day shift in advection or unmodeled local heating could theoretically alter the reading, though current data show limited scope for such deviation before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
音量
$113,124終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:26 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% consensus on 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on June 4 stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest official forecast and supporting numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which align on a mild early-June maximum under stable southerly flow and near-normal seasonal conditions. This positions the outcome well within the typical 21–26°C range for the period, with no significant warming signals from current atmospheric patterns. Official observations from the Otemachi station will finalize resolution. A late-day shift in advection or unmodeled local heating could theoretically alter the reading, though current data show limited scope for such deviation before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$113,124終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:26 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The market's near-certain 100% consensus on 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on June 4 stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest official forecast and supporting numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which align on a mild early-June maximum under stable southerly flow and near-normal seasonal conditions. This positions the outcome well within the typical 21–26°C range for the period, with no significant warming signals from current atmospheric patterns. Official observations from the Otemachi station will finalize resolution. A late-day shift in advection or unmodeled local heating could theoretically alter the reading, though current data show limited scope for such deviation before the daily close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問