Recent model consensus from European and global forecasting centers points to a modest high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, driven by cooler maritime air advection from the northwest and increased cloud cover or light rain that limits daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but highlight sensitivity to the precise timing of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical mid-August baselines near 23–24°C provide context, yet the current setup favors slightly below-average maxima. Traders weigh these factors against the final observational data from Polish meteorological stations, where small differences in reported peak temperature will resolve the closely matched leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月17日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
22°C 39%
23°C 22%
24°C 14%
20°C or below 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
20°C or below
12%
21°C
10%
22°C
39%
23°C
22%
24°C
14%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
22°C 39%
23°C 22%
24°C 14%
20°C or below 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
20°C or below
$298 Vol.
12%
21°C
$150 Vol.
10%
22°C
$293 Vol.
39%
23°C
$139 Vol.
22%
24°C
$46 Vol.
14%
25°C
$100 Vol.
5%
26°C
$41 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1 Vol.
1%
29°C
$26 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global forecasting centers points to a modest high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, driven by cooler maritime air advection from the northwest and increased cloud cover or light rain that limits daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but highlight sensitivity to the precise timing of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical mid-August baselines near 23–24°C provide context, yet the current setup favors slightly below-average maxima. Traders weigh these factors against the final observational data from Polish meteorological stations, where small differences in reported peak temperature will resolve the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
音量
$1,106終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global forecasting centers points to a modest high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, driven by cooler maritime air advection from the northwest and increased cloud cover or light rain that limits daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but highlight sensitivity to the precise timing of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical mid-August baselines near 23–24°C provide context, yet the current setup favors slightly below-average maxima. Traders weigh these factors against the final observational data from Polish meteorological stations, where small differences in reported peak temperature will resolve the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,106終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETRecent model consensus from European and global forecasting centers points to a modest high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, driven by cooler maritime air advection from the northwest and increased cloud cover or light rain that limits daytime heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but highlight sensitivity to the precise timing of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical mid-August baselines near 23–24°C provide context, yet the current setup favors slightly below-average maxima. Traders weigh these factors against the final observational data from Polish meteorological stations, where small differences in reported peak temperature will resolve the closely matched leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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