Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の上海の最高気温は?
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 14%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
43%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 14%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
43%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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