Environment Canada forecasts sunny conditions with a high of 27°C for Toronto on August 15, 2026, yet market odds cluster tightly around 25–26°C. This reflects ensemble model spreads in peak afternoon heating under a stable high-pressure ridge, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, or cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 25°C, and current guidance shows limited moisture or frontal influence to suppress temperatures further. Traders weigh the latest model runs and station-specific observations—likely Pearson Airport data—against this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the precise observed maximum before evening cooling begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月15日のトロントの最高気温は？
26°C 47%
25°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
36%
26°C
47%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 47%
25°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
19°C or below
$97 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$430 Vol.
1%
22°C
$335 Vol.
2%
23°C
$394 Vol.
3%
24°C
$278 Vol.
8%
25°C
$189 Vol.
36%
26°C
$1,304 Vol.
47%
27°C
$210 Vol.
9%
28°C
$180 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$129 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada forecasts sunny conditions with a high of 27°C for Toronto on August 15, 2026, yet market odds cluster tightly around 25–26°C. This reflects ensemble model spreads in peak afternoon heating under a stable high-pressure ridge, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, or cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 25°C, and current guidance shows limited moisture or frontal influence to suppress temperatures further. Traders weigh the latest model runs and station-specific observations—likely Pearson Airport data—against this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the precise observed maximum before evening cooling begins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$3,631終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada forecasts sunny conditions with a high of 27°C for Toronto on August 15, 2026, yet market odds cluster tightly around 25–26°C. This reflects ensemble model spreads in peak afternoon heating under a stable high-pressure ridge, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, or cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 25°C, and current guidance shows limited moisture or frontal influence to suppress temperatures further. Traders weigh the latest model runs and station-specific observations—likely Pearson Airport data—against this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the precise observed maximum before evening cooling begins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,631終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETEnvironment Canada forecasts sunny conditions with a high of 27°C for Toronto on August 15, 2026, yet market odds cluster tightly around 25–26°C. This reflects ensemble model spreads in peak afternoon heating under a stable high-pressure ridge, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, or cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology centers near 25°C, and current guidance shows limited moisture or frontal influence to suppress temperatures further. Traders weigh the latest model runs and station-specific observations—likely Pearson Airport data—against this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the precise observed maximum before evening cooling begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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