Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日の香港の最高気温は?
31°C 38%
32°C 26%
30°C 18%
33°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
18%
31°C
38%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 26%
30°C 18%
33°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
18%
31°C
38%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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