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icon for 8月14日の香港の最高気温は?

8月14日の香港の最高気温は?

icon for 8月14日の香港の最高気温は?

8月14日の香港の最高気温は?

31°C 38%

32°C 26%

30°C 18%

33°C 8%

Polymarket
新規

31°C 38%

32°C 26%

30°C 18%

33°C 8%

Polymarket
新規

26°C or below

$300 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$254 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$367 Vol.

1%

29°C

$678 Vol.

6%

30°C

$393 Vol.

18%

31°C

$776 Vol.

38%

32°C

$308 Vol.

26%

33°C

$190 Vol.

8%

34°C

$227 Vol.

2%

35°C

$202 Vol.

1%

36°C or higher

$261 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,956
終了日
2026/08/14
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts indicate increased shower and thunderstorm activity on August 14 will be the main factor capping Hong Kong's daily maximum, with models pointing to a 30–33°C range under a moist southwesterly airstream. Convective clouds and rainfall reduce surface insolation during peak heating hours, differentiating outcomes near 31°C versus 32°C depending on shower timing and coverage. Hong Kong Observatory guidance and seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid long-term warming provide context, while recent very hot days (34°C+) reflect clearer conditions now giving way to more unsettled weather. Trader consensus around 31–32°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the official absolute daily maximum at the Observatory station; stronger or earlier convection would favor the lower end.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,956
終了日
2026/08/14
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月14日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「31°C」で38%、次いで「32°C」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「8月14日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 12, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「8月14日の香港の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月14日の香港の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「31°C」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「32°C」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月14日の香港の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。