Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models point to a high near 32–33°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 12 amid an ongoing regional heatwave driven by persistent high pressure, easterly flow descending off the peninsula's mountains, and residual effects from nearby typhoon circulation. These conditions favor clear to partly cloudy skies with strong daytime insolation and limited mixing, while typical mid-August humidity near 70–80% amplifies perceived heat but has minimal direct impact on maximum air temperature. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from small timing differences in any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. Historical climatology places average August highs near 30–31°C, so the current pattern reflects above-normal persistence that traders are pricing into the closely bunched 31–34°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
32°C 34%
33°C 27%
31℃ 20%
34℃ 11%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30℃
6%
31℃
20%
32°C
34%
33°C
27%
34℃
11%
35℃
4%
36℃
3%
37℃以上
1%
32°C 34%
33°C 27%
31℃ 20%
34℃ 11%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30℃
6%
31℃
20%
32°C
34%
33°C
27%
34℃
11%
35℃
4%
36℃
3%
37℃以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models point to a high near 32–33°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 12 amid an ongoing regional heatwave driven by persistent high pressure, easterly flow descending off the peninsula's mountains, and residual effects from nearby typhoon circulation. These conditions favor clear to partly cloudy skies with strong daytime insolation and limited mixing, while typical mid-August humidity near 70–80% amplifies perceived heat but has minimal direct impact on maximum air temperature. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from small timing differences in any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. Historical climatology places average August highs near 30–31°C, so the current pattern reflects above-normal persistence that traders are pricing into the closely bunched 31–34°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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