Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models place Tokyo’s August 12 overnight low near 23–24 °C under a persistent Pacific High, with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit radiational cooling. These conditions produce market-implied odds clustered tightly between 23 °C (33 %) and 24 °C (34.5 %), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Urban heat-island effects and humidity above 80 % further moderate temperature drops, while any earlier clearing could allow slightly cooler readings near 22 °C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の東京の最低気温は？
8月12日の東京の最低気温は？
24°C 35%
23°C 27%
22°C 17%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
9%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C
35%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 27%
22°C 17%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
18°C or below
$34 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
1%
20°C
$6 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
9%
22°C
$26 Vol.
17%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$92 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1 Vol.
5%
27°C
$34 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models place Tokyo’s August 12 overnight low near 23–24 °C under a persistent Pacific High, with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit radiational cooling. These conditions produce market-implied odds clustered tightly between 23 °C (33 %) and 24 °C (34.5 %), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Urban heat-island effects and humidity above 80 % further moderate temperature drops, while any earlier clearing could allow slightly cooler readings near 22 °C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$255終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models place Tokyo’s August 12 overnight low near 23–24 °C under a persistent Pacific High, with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit radiational cooling. These conditions produce market-implied odds clustered tightly between 23 °C (33 %) and 24 °C (34.5 %), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Urban heat-island effects and humidity above 80 % further moderate temperature drops, while any earlier clearing could allow slightly cooler readings near 22 °C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$255終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models place Tokyo’s August 12 overnight low near 23–24 °C under a persistent Pacific High, with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers expected to limit radiational cooling. These conditions produce market-implied odds clustered tightly between 23 °C (33 %) and 24 °C (34.5 %), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Urban heat-island effects and humidity above 80 % further moderate temperature drops, while any earlier clearing could allow slightly cooler readings near 22 °C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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