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icon for ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？
政治·トランプ

ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？

icon for ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？
政治·トランプ

ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？

$2,528,924 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$2,528,924 Vol.

Polymarket

6月30日

$273,135 Vol.

2%

2027年以前

$42,535 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Minnesota Governor Tim Walz abandoned his 2026 re-election bid on January 5 amid intense scrutiny over an alleged multibillion-dollar fraud scheme in the state's child care assistance program (CCAP), run by the Department of Human Services under his administration. A viral investigation highlighted suspicious payouts to certain Minneapolis daycares, prompting federal probes, fund freezes by the Trump administration, and Republican demands for his resignation. Walz has defiantly rejected those calls, affirming plans to serve out his term ending January 2027, while ongoing legislative sessions and investigations persist into spring 2026 with no confirmed developments signaling an early exit. The November 2026 gubernatorial election will determine his successor, potentially influencing lame-duck dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,528,924
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Dec 28, 2025, 12:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Minnesota Governor Tim Walz abandoned his 2026 re-election bid on January 5 amid intense scrutiny over an alleged multibillion-dollar fraud scheme in the state's child care assistance program (CCAP), run by the Department of Human Services under his administration. A viral investigation highlighted suspicious payouts to certain Minneapolis daycares, prompting federal probes, fund freezes by the Trump administration, and Republican demands for his resignation. Walz has defiantly rejected those calls, affirming plans to serve out his term ending January 2027, while ongoing legislative sessions and investigations persist into spring 2026 with no confirmed developments signaling an early exit. The November 2026 gubernatorial election will determine his successor, potentially influencing lame-duck dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,528,924
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Dec 28, 2025, 12:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年以前」で9%、次いで「6月30日」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？」は$2.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 28, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？」の現在のリーダーは「2027年以前」でわずか9%、「6月30日」が2%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ティム・ワルツは...までに辞任しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。