President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against expanded Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations, most recently in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian during a federal raid. These statements reference the law’s authority to deploy military or federalize National Guard units when state officials cannot or will not suppress unrest or enforce federal law. No invocation has occurred since the 1992 Los Angeles riots, and prior attempts to federalize state forces in other states have faced Supreme Court limits. Congressional proposals to narrow the statute’s scope remain pending, while administration priorities on border security and interior enforcement continue to shape conditions that could trigger or deter future action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,090,970 Vol.
6月30日
3%
12月31日
17%
$1,090,970 Vol.
6月30日
3%
12月31日
17%
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against expanded Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations, most recently in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian during a federal raid. These statements reference the law’s authority to deploy military or federalize National Guard units when state officials cannot or will not suppress unrest or enforce federal law. No invocation has occurred since the 1992 Los Angeles riots, and prior attempts to federalize state forces in other states have faced Supreme Court limits. Congressional proposals to narrow the statute’s scope remain pending, while administration priorities on border security and interior enforcement continue to shape conditions that could trigger or deter future action.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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