Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has left Cape Town in a transitional regime, with South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating modest post-frontal warming that places the August 12 maximum near 22–23 °C. Historical August averages hover around 18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, yet daily maxima can reach the low 20s when northerly flow or clearer skies follow frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for 23 °C and 22 °C, underscores remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind strength that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
8月12日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
23℃ 29%
22℃ 27%
21℃ 18%
24°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
1%
18℃
1%
19℃
6%
20°C
9%
21℃
18%
22℃
27%
23℃
29%
24°C
11%
25℃
2%
26℃以上
2%
23℃ 29%
22℃ 27%
21℃ 18%
24°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
16℃以下
$12 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$2 Vol.
1%
18℃
$12 Vol.
1%
19℃
$2 Vol.
6%
20°C
$20 Vol.
9%
21℃
$12 Vol.
18%
22℃
$4 Vol.
27%
23℃
$110 Vol.
29%
24°C
$74 Vol.
11%
25℃
$0 Vol.
2%
26℃以上
$49 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has left Cape Town in a transitional regime, with South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating modest post-frontal warming that places the August 12 maximum near 22–23 °C. Historical August averages hover around 18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, yet daily maxima can reach the low 20s when northerly flow or clearer skies follow frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for 23 °C and 22 °C, underscores remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind strength that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
音量
$297終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold front passage over the Western Cape has left Cape Town in a transitional regime, with South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating modest post-frontal warming that places the August 12 maximum near 22–23 °C. Historical August averages hover around 18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, yet daily maxima can reach the low 20s when northerly flow or clearer skies follow frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for 23 °C and 22 °C, underscores remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind strength that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$297終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent cold front passage over the Western Cape has left Cape Town in a transitional regime, with South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating modest post-frontal warming that places the August 12 maximum near 22–23 °C. Historical August averages hover around 18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, yet daily maxima can reach the low 20s when northerly flow or clearer skies follow frontal systems. Trader consensus, reflected in tightly matched 28.5 % and 27.5 % implied probabilities for 23 °C and 22 °C, underscores remaining model spread in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and wind strength that can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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