Recent Met Office forecasts project an 18°C minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the warm spell pushing daytime highs to 30°C and sustaining elevated nighttime readings above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 17–18°C, with minor divergences hinging on exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress cooling. Traders monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of final official verification, as small atmospheric adjustments near the resolution window can swing outcomes between the closely matched leading probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のロンドンの最低気温は?
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
16°C 17%
19°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
37%
18°C
35%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
16°C 17%
19°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
37%
18°C
35%
19°C
8%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts project an 18°C minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the warm spell pushing daytime highs to 30°C and sustaining elevated nighttime readings above the seasonal 13–14°C average. Ensemble models show tight clustering around 17–18°C, with minor divergences hinging on exact cloud cover or wind shifts that could enhance or suppress cooling. Traders monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ahead of final official verification, as small atmospheric adjustments near the resolution window can swing outcomes between the closely matched leading probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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