Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 12, driven by a shift to westerly flow and possible thundery showers that limit daytime heating. This has concentrated trader-implied probabilities around 17–18°C highs, consistent with guidance projecting maxima near 17–21°C amid moderate winds and cloud cover. Historical August baselines average 19–22°C, but current synoptic patterns and recent model runs favor values at the lower end of the typical range. Key resolution data will come from official observations through the afternoon, with minor model spread leaving room for 19°C or higher if skies clear earlier than expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月12日のモスクワの最高気温は？
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
10%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
14%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
3%
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
12°C or below
$30 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$130 Vol.
4%
14°C
$133 Vol.
5%
15°C
$26 Vol.
5%
16°C
$187 Vol.
10%
17°C
$49 Vol.
35%
18°C
$46 Vol.
35%
19°C
$148 Vol.
14%
20°C
$37 Vol.
5%
21°C
$39 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$17 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 12, driven by a shift to westerly flow and possible thundery showers that limit daytime heating. This has concentrated trader-implied probabilities around 17–18°C highs, consistent with guidance projecting maxima near 17–21°C amid moderate winds and cloud cover. Historical August baselines average 19–22°C, but current synoptic patterns and recent model runs favor values at the lower end of the typical range. Key resolution data will come from official observations through the afternoon, with minor model spread leaving room for 19°C or higher if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$844終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 12, driven by a shift to westerly flow and possible thundery showers that limit daytime heating. This has concentrated trader-implied probabilities around 17–18°C highs, consistent with guidance projecting maxima near 17–21°C amid moderate winds and cloud cover. Historical August baselines average 19–22°C, but current synoptic patterns and recent model runs favor values at the lower end of the typical range. Key resolution data will come from official observations through the afternoon, with minor model spread leaving room for 19°C or higher if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$844終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 12, driven by a shift to westerly flow and possible thundery showers that limit daytime heating. This has concentrated trader-implied probabilities around 17–18°C highs, consistent with guidance projecting maxima near 17–21°C amid moderate winds and cloud cover. Historical August baselines average 19–22°C, but current synoptic patterns and recent model runs favor values at the lower end of the typical range. Key resolution data will come from official observations through the afternoon, with minor model spread leaving room for 19°C or higher if skies clear earlier than expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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