Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with daytime highs near 37–38°C on August 14, supporting overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, light winds, and the urban heat island effect. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August baselines of 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21–23°C outcomes aligns with current guidance showing modest model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight. Updated short-range runs and official vigilance bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のパリの最低気温は？
8月14日のパリの最低気温は？
22℃ 27%
21°C 25%
23℃ 22%
20°C以下 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
20°C以下
14%
21°C
25%
22℃
27%
23℃
27%
24°C
8%
25℃
3%
26°C
6%
27℃
3%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30°C以上
1%
22℃ 27%
21°C 25%
23℃ 22%
20°C以下 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
20°C以下
$25 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22℃
$0 Vol.
27%
23℃
$23 Vol.
27%
24°C
$43 Vol.
8%
25℃
$317 Vol.
3%
26°C
$32 Vol.
6%
27℃
$22 Vol.
3%
28℃
$34 Vol.
1%
29°C
$34 Vol.
1%
30°C以上
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with daytime highs near 37–38°C on August 14, supporting overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, light winds, and the urban heat island effect. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August baselines of 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21–23°C outcomes aligns with current guidance showing modest model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight. Updated short-range runs and official vigilance bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
音量
$563終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with daytime highs near 37–38°C on August 14, supporting overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, light winds, and the urban heat island effect. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August baselines of 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21–23°C outcomes aligns with current guidance showing modest model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight. Updated short-range runs and official vigilance bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$563終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate Paris remains under a heatwave with daytime highs near 37–38°C on August 14, supporting overnight lows clustered around 21–23°C due to limited nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, light winds, and the urban heat island effect. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to historical August baselines of 15–18°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 21–23°C outcomes aligns with current guidance showing modest model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight. Updated short-range runs and official vigilance bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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