**Trader consensus centers on a mild mid-winter high near 14°C for Wellington on August 12, reflecting MetService and model guidance showing daytime maxima of 13–15°C amid near-average seasonal conditions.** Persistent El Niño influences are supporting near-normal temperatures across central New Zealand, with typical August climatology placing Wellington’s mean daily high around 12–13°C. Recent short-range forecasts highlight stable high-pressure patterns and light winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind direction and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月12日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
14℃ 52%
15°C 34%
13°C 8%
12°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14℃
52%
15°C
34%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18℃
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
14℃ 52%
15°C 34%
13°C 8%
12°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
9℃以下
$253 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$199 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$145 Vol.
1%
12°C
$12 Vol.
4%
13°C
$262 Vol.
8%
14℃
$625 Vol.
52%
15°C
$618 Vol.
34%
16°C
$192 Vol.
4%
17°C
$23 Vol.
2%
18℃
$153 Vol.
<1%
19℃以上
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a mild mid-winter high near 14°C for Wellington on August 12, reflecting MetService and model guidance showing daytime maxima of 13–15°C amid near-average seasonal conditions.**
Persistent El Niño influences are supporting near-normal temperatures across central New Zealand, with typical August climatology placing Wellington’s mean daily high around 12–13°C. Recent short-range forecasts highlight stable high-pressure patterns and light winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind direction and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$2,630終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a mild mid-winter high near 14°C for Wellington on August 12, reflecting MetService and model guidance showing daytime maxima of 13–15°C amid near-average seasonal conditions.**
Persistent El Niño influences are supporting near-normal temperatures across central New Zealand, with typical August climatology placing Wellington’s mean daily high around 12–13°C. Recent short-range forecasts highlight stable high-pressure patterns and light winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind direction and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,630終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on a mild mid-winter high near 14°C for Wellington on August 12, reflecting MetService and model guidance showing daytime maxima of 13–15°C amid near-average seasonal conditions.** Persistent El Niño influences are supporting near-normal temperatures across central New Zealand, with typical August climatology placing Wellington’s mean daily high around 12–13°C. Recent short-range forecasts highlight stable high-pressure patterns and light winds that limit daytime warming while preventing sharp cold outbreaks, keeping the probability mass tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind direction and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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