Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers over Tokyo on August 12, limiting solar heating and suppressing daytime maxima below seasonal norms of 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus and recent observational trends point to peak temperatures clustering near 27–29°C, with cloud cover and precipitation as the dominant cooling mechanisms. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of rainfall, as even modest variations in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups show comparable moderation during mid-August frontal passages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の東京の最高気温は？
8月12日の東京の最高気温は？
28°C 35%
27°C 27%
29°C 19%
26℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
1%
25℃
6%
26℃
13%
27°C
27%
28°C
35%
29°C
19%
30°C
5%
31℃
2%
32°C
2%
33℃以上
<1%
28°C 35%
27°C 27%
29°C 19%
26℃ 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
23℃以下
$79 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$14 Vol.
1%
25℃
$238 Vol.
6%
26℃
$175 Vol.
13%
27°C
$240 Vol.
27%
28°C
$57 Vol.
35%
29°C
$869 Vol.
19%
30°C
$235 Vol.
5%
31℃
$152 Vol.
2%
32°C
$68 Vol.
2%
33℃以上
$611 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers over Tokyo on August 12, limiting solar heating and suppressing daytime maxima below seasonal norms of 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus and recent observational trends point to peak temperatures clustering near 27–29°C, with cloud cover and precipitation as the dominant cooling mechanisms. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of rainfall, as even modest variations in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups show comparable moderation during mid-August frontal passages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$2,738終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers over Tokyo on August 12, limiting solar heating and suppressing daytime maxima below seasonal norms of 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus and recent observational trends point to peak temperatures clustering near 27–29°C, with cloud cover and precipitation as the dominant cooling mechanisms. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of rainfall, as even modest variations in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups show comparable moderation during mid-August frontal passages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,738終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers over Tokyo on August 12, limiting solar heating and suppressing daytime maxima below seasonal norms of 31–32°C. Ensemble model consensus and recent observational trends point to peak temperatures clustering near 27–29°C, with cloud cover and precipitation as the dominant cooling mechanisms. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of rainfall, as even modest variations in steering patterns or convective activity could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups show comparable moderation during mid-August frontal passages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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