**Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 14 under persistent sunny conditions, light winds, and a stable subtropical high-pressure system.** This aligns closely with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) and recent days’ observations near or slightly above normal, without signs of an intensifying heatwave or significant moisture influx that could alter the envelope. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (56.5%) and 32°C (34.5%) reflects trader consensus on these central outcomes, incorporating potential urban heat-island effects at official stations and minor model spread. Lower-probability tails (34°C at 10.5% or below 32°C) capture residual uncertainty from possible minor steering-pattern shifts or measurement timing, but current guidance shows little support for extremes. Updated short-range runs and Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のテルアビブの最高気温は？
8月14日のテルアビブの最高気温は？
33°C 56%
32°C 35%
34°C 12%
29°C or below 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
35%
33°C
56%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 35%
34°C 12%
29°C or below 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
29°C or below
$12 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$96 Vol.
2%
32°C
$103 Vol.
35%
33°C
$126 Vol.
56%
34°C
$95 Vol.
12%
35°C
$23 Vol.
3%
36°C
$5 Vol.
3%
37°C
$5 Vol.
3%
38°C
$12 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 14 under persistent sunny conditions, light winds, and a stable subtropical high-pressure system.** This aligns closely with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) and recent days’ observations near or slightly above normal, without signs of an intensifying heatwave or significant moisture influx that could alter the envelope.
The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (56.5%) and 32°C (34.5%) reflects trader consensus on these central outcomes, incorporating potential urban heat-island effects at official stations and minor model spread. Lower-probability tails (34°C at 10.5% or below 32°C) capture residual uncertainty from possible minor steering-pattern shifts or measurement timing, but current guidance shows little support for extremes. Updated short-range runs and Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$592終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 14 under persistent sunny conditions, light winds, and a stable subtropical high-pressure system.** This aligns closely with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) and recent days’ observations near or slightly above normal, without signs of an intensifying heatwave or significant moisture influx that could alter the envelope.
The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (56.5%) and 32°C (34.5%) reflects trader consensus on these central outcomes, incorporating potential urban heat-island effects at official stations and minor model spread. Lower-probability tails (34°C at 10.5% or below 32°C) capture residual uncertainty from possible minor steering-pattern shifts or measurement timing, but current guidance shows little support for extremes. Updated short-range runs and Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$592終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 14 under persistent sunny conditions, light winds, and a stable subtropical high-pressure system.** This aligns closely with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) and recent days’ observations near or slightly above normal, without signs of an intensifying heatwave or significant moisture influx that could alter the envelope. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (56.5%) and 32°C (34.5%) reflects trader consensus on these central outcomes, incorporating potential urban heat-island effects at official stations and minor model spread. Lower-probability tails (34°C at 10.5% or below 32°C) capture residual uncertainty from possible minor steering-pattern shifts or measurement timing, but current guidance shows little support for extremes. Updated short-range runs and Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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