National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 15 center on a high near 68°F, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability and nearby 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where sea breezes and coastal upwelling keep highs in the mid-to-upper 60s more often than the seasonal 70°F average. Recent model consensus shows no strong offshore flow or heat advection to push temperatures higher, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift results within the 66-71°F range. Updated NWS guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal on exact thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
8月15日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
68～69°F 41%
70〜71°F 23%
66〜67°F 17%
64〜65°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
59°F以下
<1%
60～61°F
1%
62〜63°F
3%
64〜65°F
7%
66〜67°F
17%
68～69°F
41%
70〜71°F
23%
72〜73°F
6%
74〜75°F
1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78°F以上
<1%
68～69°F 41%
70〜71°F 23%
66〜67°F 17%
64〜65°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
59°F以下
$69 Vol.
<1%
60～61°F
$17 Vol.
1%
62〜63°F
$255 Vol.
3%
64〜65°F
$131 Vol.
7%
66〜67°F
$249 Vol.
17%
68～69°F
$73 Vol.
41%
70〜71°F
$163 Vol.
23%
72〜73°F
$380 Vol.
6%
74〜75°F
$160 Vol.
1%
76〜77°F
$169 Vol.
<1%
78°F以上
$13 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 15 center on a high near 68°F, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability and nearby 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where sea breezes and coastal upwelling keep highs in the mid-to-upper 60s more often than the seasonal 70°F average. Recent model consensus shows no strong offshore flow or heat advection to push temperatures higher, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift results within the 66-71°F range. Updated NWS guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal on exact thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$1,678終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 15 center on a high near 68°F, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability and nearby 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where sea breezes and coastal upwelling keep highs in the mid-to-upper 60s more often than the seasonal 70°F average. Recent model consensus shows no strong offshore flow or heat advection to push temperatures higher, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift results within the 66-71°F range. Updated NWS guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal on exact thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,678終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 15 center on a high near 68°F, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability and nearby 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where sea breezes and coastal upwelling keep highs in the mid-to-upper 60s more often than the seasonal 70°F average. Recent model consensus shows no strong offshore flow or heat advection to push temperatures higher, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift results within the 66-71°F range. Updated NWS guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal on exact thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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