Recent short-range model guidance and climatological baselines for mid-August in Moscow center the expected daily maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Late-summer radiative cooling and the typical southward shift of the polar jet stream moderate peak temperatures, while variable Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover introduce day-to-day uncertainty in surface heating and warm-air advection. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers on 16 August, limiting insolation and keeping the high within a narrow range; small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C, sustaining the balanced trader consensus around these three outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月16日のモスクワの最高気温は？
25°C 31%
26°C 28%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
20°C or below
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
16%
25°C
31%
26°C
28%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
25°C 31%
26°C 28%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
21°C
$13 Vol.
3%
22°C
$10 Vol.
5%
23°C
$31 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$36 Vol.
6%
29°C
$25 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance and climatological baselines for mid-August in Moscow center the expected daily maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Late-summer radiative cooling and the typical southward shift of the polar jet stream moderate peak temperatures, while variable Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover introduce day-to-day uncertainty in surface heating and warm-air advection. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers on 16 August, limiting insolation and keeping the high within a narrow range; small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C, sustaining the balanced trader consensus around these three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$145終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance and climatological baselines for mid-August in Moscow center the expected daily maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Late-summer radiative cooling and the typical southward shift of the polar jet stream moderate peak temperatures, while variable Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover introduce day-to-day uncertainty in surface heating and warm-air advection. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers on 16 August, limiting insolation and keeping the high within a narrow range; small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C, sustaining the balanced trader consensus around these three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$145終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance and climatological baselines for mid-August in Moscow center the expected daily maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Late-summer radiative cooling and the typical southward shift of the polar jet stream moderate peak temperatures, while variable Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover introduce day-to-day uncertainty in surface heating and warm-air advection. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers on 16 August, limiting insolation and keeping the high within a narrow range; small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C, sustaining the balanced trader consensus around these three outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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