Recent forecast updates from models show a moderating pattern over Paris after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover, lighter northerly winds, and potential showers supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 17°C on August 16. Official guidance highlights a daytime high around 28–29°C but emphasizes the low's sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could keep readings at 18–19°C or dip slightly lower. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the Paris basin while reflecting the current consensus across ensemble runs, positioning the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes ahead of final station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のパリの最低気温は?
19℃ 45%
18℃以下 36%
20°C 15%
21℃ 8%
18℃以下
36%
19℃
45%
20°C
15%
21℃
8%
22℃
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
19℃ 45%
18℃以下 36%
20°C 15%
21℃ 8%
18℃以下
36%
19℃
45%
20°C
15%
21℃
8%
22℃
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from models show a moderating pattern over Paris after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover, lighter northerly winds, and potential showers supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 17°C on August 16. Official guidance highlights a daytime high around 28–29°C but emphasizes the low's sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could keep readings at 18–19°C or dip slightly lower. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the Paris basin while reflecting the current consensus across ensemble runs, positioning the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes ahead of final station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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