Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 25–26°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24.5–28.5% implied probability. Lingering moisture and increased cloud cover following Typhoon Dolphin’s landfall earlier in the week have limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal averages of 25–26°C despite typical August humidity near 77%. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns with scattered thunderstorms, though slight variations in cloud thickness or wind could shift the low by 1°C. Historical August minima rarely dip below 24°C absent major systems, while updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this daily temperature market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の上海の最低気温は？
8月15日の上海の最低気温は？
26°C 30%
25℃ 24%
27℃ 15%
23℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
20℃以下
4%
21℃
5%
22°C
7%
23℃
10%
24℃
10%
25℃
24%
26°C
30%
27℃
15%
28℃
7%
29℃
7%
30℃以上
4%
26°C 30%
25℃ 24%
27℃ 15%
23℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
20℃以下
$12 Vol.
4%
21℃
$12 Vol.
5%
22°C
$12 Vol.
7%
23℃
$43 Vol.
10%
24℃
$0 Vol.
10%
25℃
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$18 Vol.
30%
27℃
$0 Vol.
15%
28℃
$0 Vol.
7%
29℃
$12 Vol.
7%
30℃以上
$12 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 25–26°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24.5–28.5% implied probability. Lingering moisture and increased cloud cover following Typhoon Dolphin’s landfall earlier in the week have limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal averages of 25–26°C despite typical August humidity near 77%. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns with scattered thunderstorms, though slight variations in cloud thickness or wind could shift the low by 1°C. Historical August minima rarely dip below 24°C absent major systems, while updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this daily temperature market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$121終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 25–26°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24.5–28.5% implied probability. Lingering moisture and increased cloud cover following Typhoon Dolphin’s landfall earlier in the week have limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal averages of 25–26°C despite typical August humidity near 77%. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns with scattered thunderstorms, though slight variations in cloud thickness or wind could shift the low by 1°C. Historical August minima rarely dip below 24°C absent major systems, while updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this daily temperature market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$121終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 25–26°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24.5–28.5% implied probability. Lingering moisture and increased cloud cover following Typhoon Dolphin’s landfall earlier in the week have limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal averages of 25–26°C despite typical August humidity near 77%. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns with scattered thunderstorms, though slight variations in cloud thickness or wind could shift the low by 1°C. Historical August minima rarely dip below 24°C absent major systems, while updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this daily temperature market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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