Trader consensus favors a 29–30°C peak for Shanghai on August 13, as ensemble forecasts from global models indicate persistent subtropical high pressure with modest humidity and limited convective cloud cover moderating daytime heating. August climatology for the region typically produces mean daily maxima near 31°C under East Asian monsoon influence and urban heat-island amplification, yet recent runs show small spreads tied to sea-breeze timing and possible weak frontal moisture. These factors create the tight 29–30°C bracket, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher only if clearer skies and stronger insolation develop. China Meteorological Administration updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の上海の最高気温は?
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
16%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
16%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus favors a 29–30°C peak for Shanghai on August 13, as ensemble forecasts from global models indicate persistent subtropical high pressure with modest humidity and limited convective cloud cover moderating daytime heating. August climatology for the region typically produces mean daily maxima near 31°C under East Asian monsoon influence and urban heat-island amplification, yet recent runs show small spreads tied to sea-breeze timing and possible weak frontal moisture. These factors create the tight 29–30°C bracket, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher only if clearer skies and stronger insolation develop. China Meteorological Administration updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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