Current numerical weather models point to a Beijing maximum near 32–33 °C on August 11, consistent with trader consensus around those outcomes. Typical late-summer monsoon flow, combined with moderate humidity and possible light rain or increased cloud cover, is expected to limit strong daytime heating while the urban heat-island effect keeps readings several degrees above regional rural values. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread in the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly higher readings under continued southerly flow. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日の北京の最高気温は?
33°C 29%
34°C 22%
32°C 22%
31°C 13%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
29%
34°C
22%
35°C
11%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 29%
34°C 22%
32°C 22%
31°C 13%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
29%
34°C
22%
35°C
11%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather models point to a Beijing maximum near 32–33 °C on August 11, consistent with trader consensus around those outcomes. Typical late-summer monsoon flow, combined with moderate humidity and possible light rain or increased cloud cover, is expected to limit strong daytime heating while the urban heat-island effect keeps readings several degrees above regional rural values. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect model spread in the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow slightly higher readings under continued southerly flow. Updated short-range guidance and official China Meteorological Administration bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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