Recent model guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and strong daytime heating across the Paris basin on August 13. This setup, amid an ongoing regional heatwave with above-average soil dryness, supports afternoon maxima centered in the upper 30s °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 38 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (24 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and official station observations, which will resolve the market based on the single highest recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のパリの最高気温は？
8月13日のパリの最高気温は？
38°C 43%
37°C 25%
39°C 16%
36°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
10%
37°C
25%
38°C
43%
39°C
16%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
38°C 43%
37°C 25%
39°C 16%
36°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
32°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$12 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36°C
$0 Vol.
10%
37°C
$0 Vol.
25%
38°C
$70 Vol.
43%
39°C
$0 Vol.
16%
40°C
$9 Vol.
5%
41°C
$15 Vol.
2%
42°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and strong daytime heating across the Paris basin on August 13. This setup, amid an ongoing regional heatwave with above-average soil dryness, supports afternoon maxima centered in the upper 30s °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 38 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (24 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and official station observations, which will resolve the market based on the single highest recorded value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$140終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and strong daytime heating across the Paris basin on August 13. This setup, amid an ongoing regional heatwave with above-average soil dryness, supports afternoon maxima centered in the upper 30s °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 38 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (24 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and official station observations, which will resolve the market based on the single highest recorded value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$140終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent model guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and strong daytime heating across the Paris basin on August 13. This setup, amid an ongoing regional heatwave with above-average soil dryness, supports afternoon maxima centered in the upper 30s °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 38 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (24 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and official station observations, which will resolve the market based on the single highest recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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