**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–37°C for Guangzhou’s August 16 high, reflecting ensemble model spreads rather than a single deterministic forecast.** Subtropical summer conditions, with mean August highs near 33–34°C, are modulated by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating. Official guidance and recent model runs show daytime maxima of 33–36°C (roughly 91–97°F), where variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 38°C without clear skies and strong subsidence; current patterns favor modest suppression from convective clouds. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の広州の最高気温は？
8月16日の広州の最高気温は？
35°C 26%
36℃ 25%
37℃ 24%
34℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
1%
32℃
10%
33℃
13%
34℃
14%
35°C
26%
36℃
25%
37℃
24%
38℃
11%
39℃以上
1%
35°C 26%
36℃ 25%
37℃ 24%
34℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
29℃以下
$5 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$5 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$5 Vol.
1%
32℃
$0 Vol.
10%
33℃
$0 Vol.
13%
34℃
$0 Vol.
14%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36℃
$6 Vol.
25%
37℃
$7 Vol.
24%
38℃
$0 Vol.
11%
39℃以上
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–37°C for Guangzhou’s August 16 high, reflecting ensemble model spreads rather than a single deterministic forecast.** Subtropical summer conditions, with mean August highs near 33–34°C, are modulated by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating. Official guidance and recent model runs show daytime maxima of 33–36°C (roughly 91–97°F), where variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 38°C without clear skies and strong subsidence; current patterns favor modest suppression from convective clouds. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$33終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–37°C for Guangzhou’s August 16 high, reflecting ensemble model spreads rather than a single deterministic forecast.** Subtropical summer conditions, with mean August highs near 33–34°C, are modulated by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating. Official guidance and recent model runs show daytime maxima of 33–36°C (roughly 91–97°F), where variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 38°C without clear skies and strong subsidence; current patterns favor modest suppression from convective clouds. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$33終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–37°C for Guangzhou’s August 16 high, reflecting ensemble model spreads rather than a single deterministic forecast.** Subtropical summer conditions, with mean August highs near 33–34°C, are modulated by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating. Official guidance and recent model runs show daytime maxima of 33–36°C (roughly 91–97°F), where variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 38°C without clear skies and strong subsidence; current patterns favor modest suppression from convective clouds. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問