Official Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime high of 36°C for Taipei on August 14 under partly cloudy skies with no typhoon or frontal systems nearby, aligning with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 32–34°C but recent hot, humid conditions have frequently produced peaks near or above that level. Urban heat-island effects and strong solar insolation under limited cloud cover support the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 38% implied probability, while model consensus on modest afternoon convection keeps 37°C or higher at just 17.5%. Updated CWA guidance and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日の台北の最高気温は?
36°C 51%
35°C 27%
37°C 18%
34°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
9%
35°C
27%
36°C
38%
37°C
18%
38°C or higher
4%
36°C 51%
35°C 27%
37°C 18%
34°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
9%
35°C
27%
36°C
38%
37°C
18%
38°C or higher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime high of 36°C for Taipei on August 14 under partly cloudy skies with no typhoon or frontal systems nearby, aligning with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 32–34°C but recent hot, humid conditions have frequently produced peaks near or above that level. Urban heat-island effects and strong solar insolation under limited cloud cover support the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 38% implied probability, while model consensus on modest afternoon convection keeps 37°C or higher at just 17.5%. Updated CWA guidance and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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