Recent deepening of the marine layer along the California coast, combined with persistent onshore flow, has driven a cooling trend that positions San Francisco's highest temperature on August 13 most likely in the 66–69°F range per National Weather Service guidance. This setup limits solar heating and maintains afternoon highs several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with observed coastal readings in the mid-60s amid patchy drizzle potential. NOAA model consensus and recent buoy data show no strong offshore warming signal through the period, though minor clearing could allow a brief push toward 68–70°F. Traders have weighted these factors heavily against historical August averages near 69°F, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations from central city stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
66〜67°F 38%
68〜69°F 27%
64〜65°F 15%
70~71°F 10%
57°F以下
<1%
58~59°F
1%
60~61°F
2%
62~63°F
6%
64〜65°F
15%
66〜67°F
38%
68〜69°F
27%
70~71°F
10%
72〜73°F
3%
74〜75°F
1%
76°F以上
<1%
66〜67°F 38%
68〜69°F 27%
64〜65°F 15%
70~71°F 10%
57°F以下
<1%
58~59°F
1%
60~61°F
2%
62~63°F
6%
64〜65°F
15%
66〜67°F
38%
68〜69°F
27%
70~71°F
10%
72〜73°F
3%
74〜75°F
1%
76°F以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent deepening of the marine layer along the California coast, combined with persistent onshore flow, has driven a cooling trend that positions San Francisco's highest temperature on August 13 most likely in the 66–69°F range per National Weather Service guidance. This setup limits solar heating and maintains afternoon highs several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with observed coastal readings in the mid-60s amid patchy drizzle potential. NOAA model consensus and recent buoy data show no strong offshore warming signal through the period, though minor clearing could allow a brief push toward 68–70°F. Traders have weighted these factors heavily against historical August averages near 69°F, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations from central city stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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