The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C as the top outcomes captures the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour maximum-temperature forecasts for Amsterdam, where ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show only modest differences in predicted boundary-layer warming. Subtle variations in cloud cover, surface wind direction, and advection of slightly warmer continental air versus cooler North Sea flow can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 22 °C, providing a useful baseline against which current model consensus is weighed. Updated high-resolution model cycles and morning radiosonde data expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
8月16日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
22°C 41%
23°C 31%
24℃ 16%
21℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
19°C以下
4%
20℃
4%
21℃
9%
22°C
41%
23°C
31%
24℃
16%
25°C
4%
26℃
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
22°C 41%
23°C 31%
24℃ 16%
21℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
19°C以下
$10 Vol.
4%
20℃
$0 Vol.
4%
21℃
$0 Vol.
9%
22°C
$83 Vol.
41%
23°C
$7 Vol.
31%
24℃
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26℃
$10 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C as the top outcomes captures the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour maximum-temperature forecasts for Amsterdam, where ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show only modest differences in predicted boundary-layer warming. Subtle variations in cloud cover, surface wind direction, and advection of slightly warmer continental air versus cooler North Sea flow can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 22 °C, providing a useful baseline against which current model consensus is weighed. Updated high-resolution model cycles and morning radiosonde data expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$155終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C as the top outcomes captures the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour maximum-temperature forecasts for Amsterdam, where ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show only modest differences in predicted boundary-layer warming. Subtle variations in cloud cover, surface wind direction, and advection of slightly warmer continental air versus cooler North Sea flow can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 22 °C, providing a useful baseline against which current model consensus is weighed. Updated high-resolution model cycles and morning radiosonde data expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$155終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThe narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C as the top outcomes captures the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour maximum-temperature forecasts for Amsterdam, where ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show only modest differences in predicted boundary-layer warming. Subtle variations in cloud cover, surface wind direction, and advection of slightly warmer continental air versus cooler North Sea flow can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 22 °C, providing a useful baseline against which current model consensus is weighed. Updated high-resolution model cycles and morning radiosonde data expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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