Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 14, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome with 51% implied probability. Typical August climatology features daily highs near 84°F, yet strengthening low stratus clouds and fog overnight into morning reduce insolation and cap peak readings in the mid-70s, consistent with neutral ENSO patterns that favor weaker offshore warming. Latest forecasts from NOAA point to a high near 78-79°F at most downtown or airport stations, with minimal model spread supporting the 74-77°F range holding over 82% market consensus ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
8月14日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
76〜77°F 52%
74～75°F 32%
78〜79°F 10%
72～73°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
65°F以下
<1%
66～67°F
<1%
68～69°F
1%
70〜71°F
4%
72～73°F
6%
74～75°F
32%
76〜77°F
52%
78〜79°F
10%
80〜81°F
1%
82～83°F
<1%
84°F以上
1%
76〜77°F 52%
74～75°F 32%
78〜79°F 10%
72～73°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
65°F以下
$146 Vol.
<1%
66～67°F
$134 Vol.
<1%
68～69°F
$126 Vol.
1%
70〜71°F
$392 Vol.
4%
72～73°F
$486 Vol.
6%
74～75°F
$390 Vol.
32%
76〜77°F
$1,918 Vol.
52%
78〜79°F
$462 Vol.
10%
80〜81°F
$220 Vol.
1%
82～83°F
$130 Vol.
<1%
84°F以上
$136 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 14, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome with 51% implied probability. Typical August climatology features daily highs near 84°F, yet strengthening low stratus clouds and fog overnight into morning reduce insolation and cap peak readings in the mid-70s, consistent with neutral ENSO patterns that favor weaker offshore warming. Latest forecasts from NOAA point to a high near 78-79°F at most downtown or airport stations, with minimal model spread supporting the 74-77°F range holding over 82% market consensus ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$4,541終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 14, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome with 51% implied probability. Typical August climatology features daily highs near 84°F, yet strengthening low stratus clouds and fog overnight into morning reduce insolation and cap peak readings in the mid-70s, consistent with neutral ENSO patterns that favor weaker offshore warming. Latest forecasts from NOAA point to a high near 78-79°F at most downtown or airport stations, with minimal model spread supporting the 74-77°F range holding over 82% market consensus ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,541終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs highlight a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 14, positioning the 76-77°F bin as the leading outcome with 51% implied probability. Typical August climatology features daily highs near 84°F, yet strengthening low stratus clouds and fog overnight into morning reduce insolation and cap peak readings in the mid-70s, consistent with neutral ENSO patterns that favor weaker offshore warming. Latest forecasts from NOAA point to a high near 78-79°F at most downtown or airport stations, with minimal model spread supporting the 74-77°F range holding over 82% market consensus ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問