Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and global ensembles show a stable pattern for Mexico City on August 14, with afternoon highs centered on 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers typical of the summer rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters moderates temperatures, while daytime heating and orographic lift can trigger convective clouds that either cap peaks near 24°C or allow brief clearing to push readings to 26°C. No strong frontal systems or anomalous moisture surges are indicated, keeping the distribution narrow and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the middle outcomes rather than extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
8月14日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
25°C 34%
26℃ 28%
24℃ 24%
22℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
19°C以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22℃
8%
23°C
5%
24℃
24%
25°C
34%
26℃
28%
27°C
7%
28℃
2%
29℃以上
1%
25°C 34%
26℃ 28%
24℃ 24%
22℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
19°C以下
$27 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$417 Vol.
2%
22℃
$216 Vol.
8%
23°C
$222 Vol.
5%
24℃
$31 Vol.
24%
25°C
$60 Vol.
34%
26℃
$51 Vol.
28%
27°C
$27 Vol.
7%
28℃
$61 Vol.
2%
29℃以上
$61 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and global ensembles show a stable pattern for Mexico City on August 14, with afternoon highs centered on 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers typical of the summer rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters moderates temperatures, while daytime heating and orographic lift can trigger convective clouds that either cap peaks near 24°C or allow brief clearing to push readings to 26°C. No strong frontal systems or anomalous moisture surges are indicated, keeping the distribution narrow and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the middle outcomes rather than extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$1,200終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and global ensembles show a stable pattern for Mexico City on August 14, with afternoon highs centered on 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers typical of the summer rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters moderates temperatures, while daytime heating and orographic lift can trigger convective clouds that either cap peaks near 24°C or allow brief clearing to push readings to 26°C. No strong frontal systems or anomalous moisture surges are indicated, keeping the distribution narrow and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the middle outcomes rather than extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,200終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETForecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and global ensembles show a stable pattern for Mexico City on August 14, with afternoon highs centered on 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers typical of the summer rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters moderates temperatures, while daytime heating and orographic lift can trigger convective clouds that either cap peaks near 24°C or allow brief clearing to push readings to 26°C. No strong frontal systems or anomalous moisture surges are indicated, keeping the distribution narrow and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the middle outcomes rather than extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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