Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a 25°C or 26°C daily high in Mexico City on August 12, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a narrow temperature range shaped by Mexico City's high-elevation setting in the Valley of Mexico, where mid-August climatology favors daytime maxima near 24°C. Variable moisture, cloud cover, and weak steering winds are the main variables that could tip maximum readings slightly higher or lower. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the decisive updates ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
25°C 45%
26°C 32%
24°C 10%
27℃ 6%
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
45%
26°C
32%
27℃
6%
28°C
2%
29°C以上
1%
25°C 45%
26°C 32%
24°C 10%
27℃ 6%
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
45%
26°C
32%
27℃
6%
28°C
2%
29°C以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign closely matched probabilities to a 25°C or 26°C daily high in Mexico City on August 12, underscoring genuine short-term forecast uncertainty. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show a narrow temperature range shaped by Mexico City's high-elevation setting in the Valley of Mexico, where mid-August climatology favors daytime maxima near 24°C. Variable moisture, cloud cover, and weak steering winds are the main variables that could tip maximum readings slightly higher or lower. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the decisive updates ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問