Latest forecasts from meteorological services including BBC Weather and The Weather Channel project a daytime high of 24–25°C for Mexico City on August 10, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. This reflects typical August climatology at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, where afternoon convective thunderstorms often cap peak temperatures near the long-term average of 24°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with moderate moisture, limiting significant warming or cooling deviations, while 23°C and 25°C probabilities capture residual forecast spread from ensemble variability. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
24°C 46%
25°C 26%
23°C 17%
21°C 12%
18°C以下
1%
19°C
1%
20℃
1%
21°C
12%
22°C
8%
23°C
17%
24°C
46%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C以上
1%
24°C 46%
25°C 26%
23°C 17%
21°C 12%
18°C以下
1%
19°C
1%
20℃
1%
21°C
12%
22°C
8%
23°C
17%
24°C
46%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from meteorological services including BBC Weather and The Weather Channel project a daytime high of 24–25°C for Mexico City on August 10, aligning with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. This reflects typical August climatology at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, where afternoon convective thunderstorms often cap peak temperatures near the long-term average of 24°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with moderate moisture, limiting significant warming or cooling deviations, while 23°C and 25°C probabilities capture residual forecast spread from ensemble variability. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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