Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C in Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading outcome at 51.5% implied probability. This reflects typical wet-season conditions in the region, where August averages hover around 30–32°C but localized heating and reduced cloud cover can push peaks higher, while humidity and afternoon convection often cap extremes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 33°C and 35°C options against model consensus and historical variability, with minimal signals of atypical warming from current ENSO monitoring. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution around official measurement thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
34°C 52%
33℃ 21%
35℃ 20%
32°C 7%
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33℃
21%
34°C
52%
35℃
20%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38℃以上
<1%
34°C 52%
33℃ 21%
35℃ 20%
32°C 7%
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33℃
21%
34°C
52%
35℃
20%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C in Panama City on August 10, aligning with the market's leading outcome at 51.5% implied probability. This reflects typical wet-season conditions in the region, where August averages hover around 30–32°C but localized heating and reduced cloud cover can push peaks higher, while humidity and afternoon convection often cap extremes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 33°C and 35°C options against model consensus and historical variability, with minimal signals of atypical warming from current ENSO monitoring. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution around official measurement thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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