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icon for 8月15日の香港の最低気温は?

8月15日の香港の最低気温は?

icon for 8月15日の香港の最低気温は?

8月15日の香港の最低気温は?

26°C 100.0%

22℃以下 <1%

23°C <1%

24℃ <1%

Polymarket

$45,021 Vol.

26°C 100.0%

22℃以下 <1%

23°C <1%

24℃ <1%

Polymarket

$45,021 Vol.

22℃以下

$728 Vol.

いいえ

23°C

$5,016 Vol.

いいえ

24℃

$3,412 Vol.

いいえ

25℃

$5,985 Vol.

いいえ

26°C

$12,027 Vol.

はい

27°C

$8,410 Vol.

いいえ

28℃

$4,934 Vol.

いいえ

29℃

$2,566 Vol.

いいえ

30°C

$1,073 Vol.

いいえ

31℃

$430 Vol.

いいえ

32℃以上

$442 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$45,021
終了日
2026/08/15
マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$45,021
終了日
2026/08/15
マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月15日の香港の最低気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「26°C」で100%、次いで「22℃以下」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「8月15日の香港の最低気温は?」は$45Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「8月15日の香港の最低気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月15日の香港の最低気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「26°C」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「22℃以下」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月15日の香港の最低気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。