The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の香港の最低気温は?
26°C 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24℃ <1%
$45,021 Vol.
$45,021 Vol.
22℃以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃以上
いいえ
26°C 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24℃ <1%
$45,021 Vol.
$45,021 Vol.
22℃以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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