Recent numerical weather prediction model runs highlight variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest advection patterns as the main drivers keeping Moscow's August 19 high temperature odds tightly clustered around 17–20°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and climate-data ensembles projects daytime maxima near 21–22°C, yet spread in short-range forecasts—particularly afternoon solar heating versus increasing mid-level moisture—sustains trader uncertainty. Historical August baselines for the region average around 20–22°C, but the current setup lacks strong high-pressure dominance that would push extremes higher. Updated model cycles and satellite observations ahead of the 19th will likely refine resolution criteria for this single-day maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月19日のモスクワの最高気温は？
19°C 25%
18°C 22%
17°C 20%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
16°C or below
2%
17°C
20%
18°C
22%
19°C
25%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
3%
19°C 25%
18°C 22%
17°C 20%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/19
16°C or below
$422 Vol.
2%
17°C
$10 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$11 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$4 Vol.
4%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
7%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs highlight variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest advection patterns as the main drivers keeping Moscow's August 19 high temperature odds tightly clustered around 17–20°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and climate-data ensembles projects daytime maxima near 21–22°C, yet spread in short-range forecasts—particularly afternoon solar heating versus increasing mid-level moisture—sustains trader uncertainty. Historical August baselines for the region average around 20–22°C, but the current setup lacks strong high-pressure dominance that would push extremes higher. Updated model cycles and satellite observations ahead of the 19th will likely refine resolution criteria for this single-day maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$462終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs highlight variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest advection patterns as the main drivers keeping Moscow's August 19 high temperature odds tightly clustered around 17–20°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and climate-data ensembles projects daytime maxima near 21–22°C, yet spread in short-range forecasts—particularly afternoon solar heating versus increasing mid-level moisture—sustains trader uncertainty. Historical August baselines for the region average around 20–22°C, but the current setup lacks strong high-pressure dominance that would push extremes higher. Updated model cycles and satellite observations ahead of the 19th will likely refine resolution criteria for this single-day maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$462終了日
2026/08/19マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model runs highlight variable cloud cover, light winds, and modest advection patterns as the main drivers keeping Moscow's August 19 high temperature odds tightly clustered around 17–20°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and climate-data ensembles projects daytime maxima near 21–22°C, yet spread in short-range forecasts—particularly afternoon solar heating versus increasing mid-level moisture—sustains trader uncertainty. Historical August baselines for the region average around 20–22°C, but the current setup lacks strong high-pressure dominance that would push extremes higher. Updated model cycles and satellite observations ahead of the 19th will likely refine resolution criteria for this single-day maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問