Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Busan on August 19 project a maximum of 33°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C. Subtropical high pressure and warm Yellow Sea surface temperatures support daytime heating near seasonal averages of 29–31°C, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection could cap peaks by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with humidity above 70% and minimal precipitation risk reinforcing moderate variability rather than extremes above 34°C. Updated KMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の釜山の最高気温は?
32°C 36%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
34°C 18%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
23%
32°C
36%
33°C
22%
34°C
13%
35℃以上
5%
32°C 36%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
34°C 18%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
23%
32°C
36%
33°C
22%
34°C
13%
35℃以上
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Busan on August 19 project a maximum of 33°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33°C. Subtropical high pressure and warm Yellow Sea surface temperatures support daytime heating near seasonal averages of 29–31°C, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection could cap peaks by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble model consensus shows low spread for this short-range period, with humidity above 70% and minimal precipitation risk reinforcing moderate variability rather than extremes above 34°C. Updated KMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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