Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 28°C in Hong Kong on August 17, reflecting model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles for overnight lows near 27–28°C amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity (often 80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light steering winds prevent sharper drops. Climatological baselines show August average lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F), with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook projecting normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October due to background warming trends and ENSO influences. Recent forecast updates reinforce this narrow range, as cloud cover and rainfall timing suppress variability below 26°C or above 29°C; any deviation would require unexpected clear skies or stronger monsoon flow not currently indicated in short-term guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の香港の最低気温は？
8月17日の香港の最低気温は？
28°C 79%
27℃ 15%
26℃ 5%
25°C <1%
$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2026/08/17
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
1%
26℃
5%
27℃
15%
28°C
79%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
28°C 79%
27℃ 15%
26℃ 5%
25°C <1%
$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2026/08/17
23℃以下
$503 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$556 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,232 Vol.
1%
26℃
$6,338 Vol.
5%
27℃
$5,456 Vol.
15%
28°C
$11,180 Vol.
79%
29°C
$7,953 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$3,582 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$501 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
33℃以上
$941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 28°C in Hong Kong on August 17, reflecting model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles for overnight lows near 27–28°C amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity (often 80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light steering winds prevent sharper drops. Climatological baselines show August average lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F), with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook projecting normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October due to background warming trends and ENSO influences. Recent forecast updates reinforce this narrow range, as cloud cover and rainfall timing suppress variability below 26°C or above 29°C; any deviation would require unexpected clear skies or stronger monsoon flow not currently indicated in short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$43,734終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 28°C in Hong Kong on August 17, reflecting model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles for overnight lows near 27–28°C amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity (often 80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light steering winds prevent sharper drops. Climatological baselines show August average lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F), with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook projecting normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October due to background warming trends and ENSO influences. Recent forecast updates reinforce this narrow range, as cloud cover and rainfall timing suppress variability below 26°C or above 29°C; any deviation would require unexpected clear skies or stronger monsoon flow not currently indicated in short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$43,734終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 28°C in Hong Kong on August 17, reflecting model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles for overnight lows near 27–28°C amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity (often 80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects and light steering winds prevent sharper drops. Climatological baselines show August average lows of 26–28°C (roughly 79–82°F), with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook projecting normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October due to background warming trends and ENSO influences. Recent forecast updates reinforce this narrow range, as cloud cover and rainfall timing suppress variability below 26°C or above 29°C; any deviation would require unexpected clear skies or stronger monsoon flow not currently indicated in short-term guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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