Traders see the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18 centering near 26–27°C because short-range forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory show only modest overnight cooling under prevailing summer monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and possible scattered cloud cover limit radiative heat loss, keeping minimum readings close to recent daily lows. Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and the urban heat island effect further buffer against sharper drops, while any clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could push the low to 26°C or below. Model consensus remains tight, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage creating the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の香港の最低気温は?
27℃ 36%
26℃ 32%
28℃ 18%
25°C 6%
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
3%
25°C
6%
26℃
32%
27℃
36%
28℃
18%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
27℃ 36%
26℃ 32%
28℃ 18%
25°C 6%
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
3%
25°C
6%
26℃
32%
27℃
36%
28℃
18%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18 centering near 26–27°C because short-range forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory show only modest overnight cooling under prevailing summer monsoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and possible scattered cloud cover limit radiative heat loss, keeping minimum readings close to recent daily lows. Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and the urban heat island effect further buffer against sharper drops, while any clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could push the low to 26°C or below. Model consensus remains tight, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage creating the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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