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icon for 8月17日の香港の最高気温は?

8月17日の香港の最高気温は?

icon for 8月17日の香港の最高気温は?

8月17日の香港の最高気温は?

33°C 39%

32°C 30%

34°C 22%

31°C 5%

Polymarket
新規

33°C 39%

32°C 30%

34°C 22%

31°C 5%

Polymarket
新規

28°C or below

$174 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$159 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$526 Vol.

2%

31°C

$457 Vol.

5%

32°C

$813 Vol.

30%

33°C

$1,112 Vol.

39%

34°C

$1,606 Vol.

22%

35°C

$546 Vol.

5%

36°C

$267 Vol.

1%

37°C

$145 Vol.

<1%

38°C or higher

$171 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on August 17 at 38.5% implied probability, closely followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting tight forecast spreads around the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest guidance. Persistent subtropical ridging supports above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook for August–October, while embedded showers and thunderstorms—driven by enhanced moisture convergence—introduce variability that caps extreme heating and favors outcomes clustered near the climatological peak of 31–33°C. Short-range model runs show limited disagreement on steering flow and cloud cover, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C. Official maximum temperature resolution at the primary station will hinge on precise timing of convective activity tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,976
終了日
2026/08/17
マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on August 17 at 38.5% implied probability, closely followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting tight forecast spreads around the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest guidance. Persistent subtropical ridging supports above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook for August–October, while embedded showers and thunderstorms—driven by enhanced moisture convergence—introduce variability that caps extreme heating and favors outcomes clustered near the climatological peak of 31–33°C. Short-range model runs show limited disagreement on steering flow and cloud cover, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C. Official maximum temperature resolution at the primary station will hinge on precise timing of convective activity tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,976
終了日
2026/08/17
マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月17日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「33°C」で39%、次いで「32°C」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、39¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に39%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「8月17日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 15, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「8月17日の香港の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月17日の香港の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「33°C」で39%であり、市場がこの結果に39%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「32°C」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月17日の香港の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。