Recent forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlights afternoon thundershowers under the prevailing southwest monsoon flow as the main factor capping peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 18, with morning insolation and urban heat island effects supporting the market's tight 35°C–34°C spread. Ensemble models show modest spread in convective timing and coverage, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C provide ample moisture but limited additional warming. Historical August maxima average 32–34°C, placing current trader consensus in line with typical late-summer conditions ahead of the next CWA update and refined GFS/ECMWF runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の台北の最高気温は?
35°C 34%
34°C 32%
36°C 14%
33°C 13%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
32%
35°C
34%
36°C
14%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 34%
34°C 32%
36°C 14%
33°C 13%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
32%
35°C
34%
36°C
14%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlights afternoon thundershowers under the prevailing southwest monsoon flow as the main factor capping peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 18, with morning insolation and urban heat island effects supporting the market's tight 35°C–34°C spread. Ensemble models show modest spread in convective timing and coverage, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C provide ample moisture but limited additional warming. Historical August maxima average 32–34°C, placing current trader consensus in line with typical late-summer conditions ahead of the next CWA update and refined GFS/ECMWF runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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